| 10:00 - 11:00 |
The Solemn Session of the Academy and the Opening Ceremony of the Symposium |
| 11:00 – 11:30 |
Coffee break |
| The Earth Climate: What is going on? IPCC Assessment Update |
| 11:30 – 12:30 |
Richard C. J. Somerville
CLIMATE CHANGE SCIENCE AFTER THE IPCC FOURTH ASSESSMENT REPORT |
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Stefan Rahmstorf
RISING TIDE: THE SEA LEVEL PROBLEM |
| 12:30 – 14:00 |
Lunch break |
| 14:00 – 14:30 |
Keith Alverson
OBSERVING GLOBAL CHANGE IN THE WORLD OCEANS: PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE |
| Paleoclimate, Part I |
| 14:30 – 15:30 |
History, Before 1 million years |
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Aleksandar Petrović
CANON OF ECCENTRICITY
HOW MILANKOVIĆ BUILT A GENERAL MATHEMATICAL THEORY OF INSOLATION? |
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Peter Ditlevsen
PLEISTOCENE GLACIAL CYCLES: CLIMATE CHANGE AND MILANKOVITCH THEORY ACROSS THE 41 KYR AND THE 100 KYR WORLDS
|
| 15:30 – 16:00 |
Coffee break |
| 16:00 – 17:00 |
Last 1 million years |
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Andrey Ganopolski, and R. Calov
SIMULATION OF GLACIAL CYCLES WITH AN EARTH SYSTEM MODEL |
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André Berger, and Qiuzhen Yin
ORBITAL FORCING AND RESPONSE DURING THE INTERGLACIALS OF THE LAST 1 MA |
| 17:00 – 17:30 |
Coffee break |
| 17:30 – 18:00 |
The Green Book of the Electric Power Industry of Serbia (Sponsor Presentation) |
| 19:00 |
Reception at the City Hall hosted by the Major Dragan Djilas, Dragoslava Jovanovića 2 |
| 9:00 – 10:30 |
Loess and MIS – 13, Last interglacial |
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Slobodan Marković, Ulrich Hambach, Thomas Stevens, Björn Machalett, George J. Kukla, Eric A. Oches, William McCoy, Björn Buggle, Ludwig Zöller, and Biljana Basarin
THE LAST MILLION YEARS RECORDED AT THE LOESS-PALEOSOL SEQUENCES IN THE VOJVODINA REGION, SERBIA |
| |
Qiuzhen Yin
AN EXTREMELY STRONG EAST ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON DURING MIS-13 IN RESPONSE TO THE ASTRONOMICAL AND ICE SHEETS FORCINGS |
| |
Bette Otto-Blisner
THE LAST INTERGLACIAL: THE SPATIAL SIGNATURES TO THE EVOLVING MILANKOVITCH VARIATIONS IN INCOMING SOLAR RADIATION |
| 10:30 – 11:00 |
Coffee break |
| 11:00 – 12:00 |
IHP Session I: Ecohydrology for Managing Climate Extremes at the River Basin Level |
| |
Shahbaz Khan
IS SUSTAINABLE WATER MANAGEMENT POSSIBLE GIVEN THE MULTIPLE CRISES? |
| |
Javier Tomasella, Daniel Andrés Rodriguez, Luz Adriana Cuartas, Mônica Ferreira, Julio Cézar Ferreira, and José Marengo
FORECAST OF DISCHARGE AND WATER TABLE VARIATIONS IN THE TOCANTINS BASIN UNDER IPCC A1B SCENARIO CONDITIONS |
| 12:00 – 14:00 |
Lunch Break (Sightseeing tour round Belgrade, Studentski trg 1) |
| 14:00 – 15:30 |
IHP Session II: Climate Change Impact on Hydrological Extremes |
| |
Siegfried Demuth
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON DROUGHTS |
| |
Biljana Radojević
CAN WE DETECT THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON FLOOD REGIMES? |
| |
Emanuela Bruno, I. Portoghese, and M. Vurro
BASIN-SCALE DAILY RAINFALL SCENARIOS FROM A HIGH RESOLUTION RCM: ANALYSIS OF PREDICTIVE PERFORMANCE AND POSTPROCESSING OF MODEL OUTPUT |
| 15:30 – 16:00 |
Coffee break |
| 16:00 – 17:00 |
|
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Dejan Dimkić, and J. Despotović
ANALYSIS OF THE CHANGES OF THE STREAMFLOWS IN SERBIAIN FUTURE TIME DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE - CASE STUDY OF THE PEK AND RESAVA RIVERS |
| |
Georg A. Janauer
AQUATIC VEGETATION IN RIVER FLOODPLAINS: CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECTS, RIVER RESTORATION AND ECOHYDROLOGY ASPECTS |
| Paleoclimate, Part II |
| 9:00 – 10:30 |
Last glacial maximum and Holocene. Modeling |
| |
Didier M. Roche, H. Renssen, S. Weber, T. Dokken, and L. Tarasov
TRANSIENT SIMULATION OF THE LAST DEGLACIATION: RELATIVE IMPACT OF MILANKOVITCH FORCING WITH RESPECT TO OTHER WELL-KNOWN FORCINGS |
| |
Sylvie Joussaume
CLIMATE MODELS: LEARNING FROM THE PAST LONG-TERM CLIMATE VARIABILITY |
| |
André Paul, and Martin Losch
PERSPECTIVES OF PALEO-DATA ASSIMILATION USING THE EXAMPLE OF THE ATLANTIC MERIDIONAL OVERTURNING CIRCULATION DURING THE LAST GLACIAL MAXIMUM |
| |
J. Ray Bates
CLIMATE FEEDBACKS: SOME CONCEPTUAL AND PHYSICAL ISSUES |
| 10:30 – 11:00 |
Coffee break |
| 11:00 – 11:20 |
Extraterrestrial planets |
| |
Dave Spiegel
GENERAL MILANKOVIC CYCLES: A NOVEL WAY TO EXIT A SNOWBALL STATE |
| Regional climate change: Detection, projections and impact |
| 11:20 – 11:50 |
Part Ia: Mediterranean and South-Eastern Europe |
| |
Antonio Navarra - TBD |
| 11:50 – 12:50 |
The Earth Climate: Where are we going? |
| |
James Hansen
WHAT DO MILANKOVITCH CLIMATE VARIATIONS TELL US ABOUT THE PROSPECTS FOR HUMAN-MADE CLIMATE CHANGE? |
| |
Carlos A. Nobre
'TIPPING POINTS' OF THE AMAZON FOREST |
| 12:50 – 14:15 |
Lunch Break |
| 14:15 – 15:30 |
Regional climate modeling: Value added – what can we do? |
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René Laprise, Maja Rapaic, Dragana Kornic, Martin Leduc, Leo Separovic, Philippe Lucas-Picher, Emilia Diaconescu, Adelina Alexandru, Ramón de Elía, Daniel Caya, and Sébastien Biner
CONSIDERATIONS OF DOMAIN SIZE AND LARGE-SCALE DRIVING FOR NESTED REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS: IMPACT ON INTERNAL VARIABILITY AND THE SKILL AT DEVELOPING SMALL-SCALE DETAILS |
| |
Fedor Mesinger, Katarina Veljović, and Borivoj Rajković
VALUE ADDED IN REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELING: SHOULD ONE ATTEMPT IMPROVING ON THE LARGE SCALES? LATERAL BOUNDARY CONDITION SCHEME: ANY IMPACT? |
| |
Sandra Morelli, and F. Parmiggiani
ETA MODEL SIMULATIONS AND AMSR IMAGES TO STUDY A REAL EVENT OF POLYNYA AT TERRA NOVA BAY, ANTARCTICA |
| 15:30 – 16:00 |
Coffee break |
| Regional climate change: Detection, projections and impact |
| 16:00 – 17:00 |
Part II: North and South America, Asia |
| |
Claudine P. Dereczynski, A. C. M. Montezano, Sin Chan Chou, and Carlos A. Nobre
THE DETECTION OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN BELÉM, PARÁ STATE, BRAZIL |
| |
Sin Chan Chou, J. A. Marengo, J. F. Pesquero, A. A. Lyra, G. Sueiro, L. Alves, and R. Betts
DOWNSCALING OF HADCM3 A1B SCENARIO OVER SOUTH AMERICA, FOR PRESENT AND FUTURE CLIMATE USING ETA MODEL |
| 19:00 |
Reception hosted by Their Royal Highnesses Crown Prince Alexander and Crown Princess Katherine at White Palace, Dedinje |
| 9:00 – 10:30 |
|
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Milka Radojević, Philippe Gachon, and Van-Thanh-Van Nguyen
EXTREME INDICES OF TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION AS SIMULATED BY DIFFERENT REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS OVER NORTH AMERICA |
| |
Biljana Musić, Daniel Caya, Anne Frigon, Michel Slivitzky, André Musy, and René Roy
CANADIAN REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL (CRCM) AS A TOOL FOR ASSESSING HYDROLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE AT THE WATERSHED SCALE |
| |
Madhav L Khandekar
DECADAL AND LONGER-SCALE VARIABILITY IN THE INDIAN MONSOON: A CLIMATE CHANGE ASSESSMENT USING A 200-YEAR DATASET |
| 10:30 – 11:00 |
Coffee break |
| 11:00 – 12:00 |
Part Ib: Mediterranean and South-Eastern Europe |
| |
Silvio Gualdi
THE CLIMATE OF THE EURO-MEDITERRANEAN REGION AS SIMULATED WITH A GLOBAL AOGCM COUPLED WITH AN INTERACTIVE HIGH-RESOLUTION MODEL OF THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA |
| |
Aleksandra Kržič, Borivoj Rajković, Ivana Tošić, and Vladimir Đurđević
SOME INDICATORS OF THE PRESENT AND FUTURE CLIMATE OF SERBIA ACCORDING TO THE SRES-A1B SCENARIO |
| 12:00 – 14:00 |
Lunch break |
| Impact on economy, General discussion, Symposium Statement |
| 14:00 – 16:00 |
Overview and moderator: Vladimir Janković
Contributed reports: Anand Babu, Peter Okonofua, Ernest L. Molua, Louis B. Mabidi |
| 19:30 |
Symposium dinner and a Cruise – Boat Sirona, Belgrade’s Port, Karadjordjeva Street |